
I know this will sound like I am defending Obama. In reality, I believe there are some specific errors made by the Rumsfield-Cheney coterie surrounding President Bush, early in the war. Some of their blinders stemmed from partisanship, and their (extreme partisan) circle-the-wagons mentality probably didn't help.
Somewhat later the Democrats, when the tide of opinion turned against the war, made a similar slide into an overly restricted mindset, emulating the message of Cindy Sheehan (when they should have also heard the perspectives of the likes of Colin Powell, Joe Lieberman, or Nouri Al-Malaki --- or now, of Bing West).
Extreme Partisanship -- and its costs
The Republicans were bent on purging their inner circle of all dissent. They seemed (well, so it looks now) to want to grab all the glory for Iraq, and opted for partisanship of an intense conservative (ideological) variety.
At first it looked impressive, the outstanding rapid performance and achievement of the soldiers and marines, the dramatic air power, the heavy reliance on overwhelming force. The obsession (and triumph) of the US "shock and awe" campaign.
But alternative voices were quietly warning not to lose sight of broader issues in the Iraqi and middle eastern context.
Cheney and Rumsfield virtually took over the reins of power, Bush acceded to the narrowly conservative perspective, and alternative viewpoints were increasingly excluded. End the discussio, time to act.
Sure, it worked for a while (and to that extent, rightfully deserves its due -- see Bing West, The Strongest Tribe). In the wake of 9-11 President Bush provided a strong response in the form of assertive, forceful leadership on the world stage (not always to universal applause), but hey, some of the middle eastern capitals that were dancing in the streets after 9-11, now are scraping and genuflecting, a bit more "eager to please" the West in general, and America in particular. Qadaffi of Libya hasted to make friends with the US. Syria extended its welcome to Pelosi more recently. Even Iran's unpredictable Ahmadinejad has written jumbled (quasi religious) "let's be friends" letters to Bush and others.
The initial over-reliance on shock and awe in Iraq was of only limited benefit, taking down Saddam, removing the (Sunni) Baathists. Leading the war, the close coterie around Bush circled the wagons, got rid of Colin Powell (and his voice of balance), erected walls of suspicion against any "divergent" views whatsoever, mistrusting even the State Department with their experts, Arabists, etc. It became a partisan war, led by the hard right, Rumsfield, Cheney, Paul Wolfowitz, Richard Perle -- aided and abetted by the hard right Republicans in Congress - the DeLay intensely partisan ideologues.
How wrong these leaders were to reject the counsel of a range of alternative voices and viewpoints. A native counsel says, listen to the elders and holy-men, then listen to the warriors and young men, then listen to the sqaws, then sleep, and hearken to your dreams, then go back to the council and speak your own judgment, then listen again. Then decide.
The whiteman Bible has other ways of the same thing, "There is safety in the multitude of counsel."
The Bush defenders justify their heavy reliance on the force option for so long, their obsession with the Baathists (Sunni) side of the equation, and say they had to have unity, everyone on the same page, had to have team players. Time was of the essence.
All that may be true, or partly true, but the fact remains that in 2004, 2005, and 2006, the war bogged down, the insurgency intensified, casualities (both Iraqi civilian and coalition) skyrocketted, and war costs soared.
In 2006, Congress, on its own, began to take on an advisory role. On their own initiative, Senators and Congressmen of both parties and a range of views and perspectives began talking together, invited in a long list of experts, military strategists, Arabist scholars, academics, and sought their views. Their motive was not to undercut the administration, but rather simply to make an effort to heed the Constitution's injucntion to the senate to advise the President. Thus they came up with the bipartisan Iraq Study Group Report
Then a dramatic event added emphasis to this "outside" set of ideas --- the election upset removing Republicans from control, both both House and Senate, and their replacement with Democratic rule.
The next week the President removed Rumsfield and (soon) replaced him with Robert Gates, one of the prominent voices calling for the broad-based ideas then gaining prominence in the Iraq Study Group Report. Thus, the turn around is due as much to independents and academics and even Democrats as it is to the (former) inner Bush circle.
Petraeus gets a lion's share of credit, but consider Lincoln, who went through a half dozen generals before he finally found Grant.
Petraeus apparently was nothing if not a powerful LISTENER. He called in outsiders, Arabists, academics, culture experts, and he listened to LOCALS. The Sunni minority was paranoid about Shi'ites (with Iranian backing) taking revenge for Saddam and the Baathists (all Sunni).
Military force still had its role, but it could never have worked without the broad-based approach long suggested by Condi Rice and Lieberman and others, but rejected by Cheney and Rumsfield, who wanted only to win and get out. (Shock-and-Awe)
Quietly but steadily, the anthropologists and state-department types' influence was felt. With Petraeus blessing, a counter-insurgency effort formed, and trust building efforts began to bear fruit, with conditions of the ground taken into very serious consideration. Charlie Rose hosted two of these anthropologists, Sarah Sewall and Montgomery McFate, and the quiet success of the new approach being implemented was self-evident.
The hearts-and-minds strategy was effective, I believe, because it incorporated a multi-facetted, multi-lateral approach in Iraq, concerned with a win-win-win emphasis on the future.
The old unilateralism of the Rumsfield - Cheney crowd back-fired. Or rather, its effectiveness was limited (if necessary for a while). There is only so much that sheer force can do. The surge was able to work only because it was balanced with the kind of inclusive approach of the new Hearts-And-Minds strategy.
|
In an interview with Bill O'Reilly, candidate Barack Obama as much as admitted that - contrary to the long-expressed fears of Democrats - the surge in Iraq had been a success "beyond our wildest dreams."
Almost immediately Republicans began exulting. In fact, some of their reaction seems almost (to me) like gloating. Rather, what I would like to say is that Obama's "admission" is no cause for gloating by anyone. There would have been dozens of politically astute ways to finesse the issue, or dodge it, or "handle" it by indirection, or cosmetically. Polticians' stock in trade for their craft is flattery, art, and "putting the best face" on tough issues. What Senator Obama did was more difficult, but to me, showed much greater integrity and character. He did not dodge the issue, he faced it frontally. He did not prettify it, or finesse it, he manfully confronted it. What I immediately thought of was President Lincoln, after the battle of Vicksburg, writing to Grant admitting his doubts and misgivings previously, and acknowledging "you were right and I was wrong." It is so refreshing to me when a politician does not act like a politician but speaks the truth bluntly and directly, even though it is unpopular. Churchill warned the English he would call on them to sacrifice (blood, sweat, toil and tears). Nobody wants to hear bad news, or a dire prognosis. But deceit and flattery are worse. What if we are better off in the long run when our leaders give it to us straight, rather than sugar-coated, or simply telling us what we want to hear. That kind of honesty can be tough for any of us. veritas odium parit. Speaking truth when it's unwelcome is dangerous. (But if I ever run for President, I better keep it ever before me!) Bob Shepherd |
|
Thomas Jefferson to John Jay, advocating eventual creation of Navy: Weakness provokes insult and injury, while a condition to punish, often prevents them. … [Sometimes, force is] the only weapon by which we can reach an enemy. I think it to our interest to punish the first insult: because an insult unpunished is the parent of many others. |
|
President Barack Obama [a warning]
We will not apologize for our way of life, nor will we waver in its defense, and for those who seek to advance their aims by inducing terror and slaughtering innocents, we say to you now that our spirit is stronger and cannot be broken; you cannot outlast us, and we will defeat you. [To] those who cling to power through corruption and deceit and the silencing of dissent, know that you are on the wrong side of history; but that we will extend a hand if you are willing to unclench your fist. |
|
DID YOU KNOW?
1. The garden of Eden was in Iraq. 2. Mesopotamia, which is now Iraq, was the cradle of civilization! 3. Noah built the ark in Iraq. 4. The Tower of Babel was in Iraq. 5. Abraham was from Ur, which is in Southern Iraq! 6. Isaac's wife Rebekah is from Nahor, which is in Iraq. 7. Jacob met Rachel in Iraq. 8. Jonah preached in Nineveh - which is in Iraq. 9. Assyria, which is in Iraq, conquered the ten tribes of Israel. 10. Amos cried out in Iraq! 11. Babylon, which is in Iraq, destroyed Jerusalem. 12. Daniel was in the lion's den in Iraq! 13. The three Hebrew children were in the fire in Iraq (Jesus had been in Iraq also as the fourth person in the fiery furnace!) 14. Belshazzar, the King of Babylon saw the "writing on the wall" in Iraq. 15. Nebuchadnezzar, King of Babylon, carried the Jews captive into Iraq. 16. Ezekiel preached in Iraq. 17. The wise men were from Iraq. 18. Peter preached in Iraq. 19. The "Empire of Man" described in Revelation are called Babylon, which was a city in Iraq! And you have probably seen this one. Israel is the nation most often mentioned in the Bible. But do you know which nation is second? It is Iraq! However, that is not the name that is used in the Bible. The names used inthe Bible are Babylon, Land of Shinar, and Mesopotamia. The word Mesopotamia means between the two rivers, more exactly between the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers. The name Iraq, means country with deep roots. Indeed Iraq is a country with deep roots and is a very significant country in the Bible. No other nation, except Israel, has more history and prophecy associated it than Iraq. And also... This is something to think about! Since America is typically represented by an eagle. Saddam should have read up on his Muslim passages... The following verse is from the Koran, (the Islamic Bible) Koran (9:11) - For it is written that a son of Arabia would awaken a fearsome Eagle. The wrath of the Eagle would be felt throughout the lands of Allah and lo, while some of the people trembled in despair still more rejoiced; for the wrath of the Eagle cleansed the lands of Allah; and there was peace. (Note the verse number!) |